Market
How will Syrian territorial control change by end of 2025?
2
Hakan Fidan•Damascus•Syria•HTS•Presidential Palace•Defense Ministry•Fidan•Syrian•Israel•Turkey•Syrian revolution•Mount Qasioun
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased government control • 25%
Increased opposition control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Maps and reports from international organizations and news agencies
Story
Turkey's Fidan Meets Syria's Ahmed al-Sharaa, Calls for PKK/YPG Disbandment, Criticizes Israel
Dec 22, 2024, 03:19 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan visited Damascus and met with Syria's new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Muhammad al-Julani, the leader of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). During their meeting at the Presidential Palace, they discussed Syria's future and the formation of a new government. Al-Sharaa announced plans to establish a new Defense Ministry and integrate armed groups under its control. Fidan emphasized that there is no place for the PKK/YPG in Syria and called for the group to disband immediately, criticizing their control over Syrian territories and resources. He also criticized Israel for exploiting the current situation and urged respect for Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Fidan expressed Turkey's commitment to support Syria in infrastructure, banking, and agriculture. Al-Sharaa thanked Turkey for its longstanding support during the Syrian revolution. The two leaders held a joint press conference and shared a moment overlooking Damascus from Mount Qasioun.
View original story
Similar markets
Government regains full control • 25%
Government control unchanged • 25%
Government loses control • 25%
Government retains partial control • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
HTS • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebel forces gain control • 25%
Government retains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Extremist groups gain control • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
Israel controls more territory • 25%
Other factions gain control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
A remnant of the Assad regime • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
A new coalition government • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Increased Western influence • 25%