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Outcome of PA-Hamas ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire partially holds • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Official announcements from the Palestinian Authority or Hamas
Story
Palestinian Authority Arrests Al Jazeera Journalist Givara Budeiri on January 19 During Coverage of Ceasefire Agreement at Beitunia Police Station
Jan 19, 2025, 05:56 PM
The Palestinian Authority (PA) has taken action against Al Jazeera, reflecting a broader trend of restricting media coverage related to Palestinian issues. On January 19, 2025, PA security forces arrested Givara Budeiri, a veteran Al Jazeera journalist, along with her cameraman while they were covering the release of Palestinian detainees as part of a ceasefire agreement with Hamas. This incident occurred in Ramallah, where the journalists were reportedly taken to the Beitunia police station. The PA's decision to suspend Al Jazeera's operations has drawn criticism, with observers noting a growing alignment between the PA and Israeli authorities in silencing journalistic voices. The Palestinian Journalists' Syndicate condemned the PA's actions, labeling them as a violation of press freedom. The situation highlights ongoing tensions surrounding media coverage in the region, particularly regarding the Palestinian narrative.
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Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Negotiations continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major violations • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major conflict • 25%
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No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Ceasefire delayed but commences • 25%
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Resumption of conflict • 25%
Temporary ceasefire extension • 25%
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Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
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New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
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Ceasefire holds, no major conflict • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor skirmishes • 25%
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Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor incidents • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%