Market
U.S. policy approach towards Gaza by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military support to Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Official U.S. government policy statements or reports from major news outlets
Story
U.S. National Security Advisor Mike Waltz Backs Israel 100% in Hostage Deal, Calls for Gaza Demilitarization
Jan 15, 2025, 11:35 PM
Incoming National Security Advisor Mike Waltz has expressed strong support for Israel's position against Hamas, stating that the U.S. will back Israel 100% if Hamas breaches the current hostage deal. Waltz emphasized that Gaza must be fully demilitarized and that Hamas must be destroyed to the point where it cannot reconstitute. He also affirmed Israel's right to fully protect itself and made it clear that Hamas cannot have any role in governing Gaza moving forward. Waltz's comments were made in various interviews, including on Fox News and Dan Senor's 'Call Me Back' podcast, where he discussed the ongoing hostage negotiations and the broader objectives of the conflict. The first stage of the hostage deal would see the release of 33 hostages, including women, the elderly, and the sick, with a focus on getting Israeli-Americans out.
View original story
Similar markets
Security and governance • 25%
Infrastructure rebuilding • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic development • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Supportive role • 25%
Mediating role • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Opposing role • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Increased support for Gaza • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Military Strategy • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions on Gaza entities • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Conditional aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased aid • 25%
Increased aid • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Severed • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
