Impact on South Korea's political stability by June 30, 2025?
Increased instability • 25%
Decreased instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Analysis reports from political analysts and major news outlets
President Yoon Faces Travel Ban; Police Raid His Office, Arrest Police Chief in Insurrection Probe
Dec 11, 2024, 03:05 AM
South Korean police on Wednesday raided the presidential office of President Yoon Suk-yeol as part of an unprecedented investigation into his brief declaration of martial law last week. Authorities have imposed a travel ban on President Yoon amid accusations of insurrection connected to the martial law declaration on December 3. The chief prosecutor stated he would not hesitate to arrest President Yoon for insurrection if warranted. The police chief became the latest high-ranking official to be arrested in the expanding probe. In addition to the presidential office, police conducted searches at the National Police Agency, Seoul Metropolitan Police, National Assembly Police Guards, and the Army Special Warfare Command headquarters. The ongoing investigation marks the first time a sitting South Korean president is being investigated on insurrection charges, raising concerns about political stability in the country.
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Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Other • 25%
Government change • 25%
Stability restored • 25%
President Yoon remains in office • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Condemnations Issued • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Yoon remains President • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Political stalemate • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
Support for legal process • 25%
Condemnation of arrest • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
A military official • 25%
No further arrests • 25%
Another police official • 25%
A member of the National Assembly • 25%