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Main outcome of Myanmar-MNDAA peace talks by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire extension • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Official statements from Myanmar military, MNDAA, and international news reports
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Myanmar Military and MNDAA Sign Ceasefire Agreement on January 18, 2025, in Kunming, Mediated by China
Jan 20, 2025, 10:17 AM
The Myanmar military and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) have signed a formal ceasefire agreement, which came into effect on January 18, 2025. The agreement was facilitated through China's mediation, with the seventh round of peace talks held in Kunming, Yunnan Province. The ceasefire aims to halt fighting near the border between Myanmar and China. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning emphasized China's role in promoting peace and its firm opposition to conflict in Myanmar, expressing hopes that all parties would maintain the momentum of the ceasefire and peace talks.
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United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
ASEAN • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Continued instability • 25%
Withdrawal without impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Humanitarian grounds • 25%
International pressure • 25%
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Political stability • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Conflict intensifies • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%