Market
Significant armed conflict between Myanmar military and MNDAA by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and conflict monitoring organizations
Story
Myanmar Military and MNDAA Sign Ceasefire Agreement on January 18, 2025, in Kunming, Mediated by China
Jan 20, 2025, 10:17 AM
The Myanmar military and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) have signed a formal ceasefire agreement, which came into effect on January 18, 2025. The agreement was facilitated through China's mediation, with the seventh round of peace talks held in Kunming, Yunnan Province. The ceasefire aims to halt fighting near the border between Myanmar and China. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning emphasized China's role in promoting peace and its firm opposition to conflict in Myanmar, expressing hopes that all parties would maintain the momentum of the ceasefire and peace talks.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
PMC deployment • 25%
Official military intervention • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Economic support only • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Continued instability • 25%
Withdrawal without impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
