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What will be the resolution of South Korea's political crisis by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
President Yoon remains in office • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements or credible news outlets reporting on the political situation in South Korea
Story
South Korea's Parliament Votes on President Yoon's Impeachment Amid Ruling Party Boycott
Dec 7, 2024, 09:41 AM
South Korea's parliament has initiated a vote on the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol, following his failed attempt to impose martial law. The ruling People Power Party (PPP) has boycotted the vote, with nearly all its lawmakers leaving the chamber, effectively ensuring the motion will fail due to lack of quorum. The Democratic Party has urged the ruling party members to return for the vote, but most have refused. Outside the parliament, tens of thousands of protesters have gathered, demanding the president's resignation. The impeachment motion is expected to fall short of the required 200 votes, as the ruling party's boycott has left insufficient members to pass the motion. Only two members of the PPP remained in parliament for the vote.
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Yoon Resigns • 25%
Yoon Remains in Power • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Yoon Impeached • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Yoon Permanently Removed • 25%
Yoon Reinstated • 25%
Han Remains Acting President • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Resignation and snap election • 25%
Other significant political changes • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Martial law revoked • 25%
Funds unblocked • 25%
Martial law upheld and funds remain blocked • 25%
Condemnations Issued • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%