What will be the outcome of Iran's nuclear program negotiations by end of 2025?
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or international organizations
Iran Agrees to Stricter IAEA Monitoring at Fordow Amid Uranium Enrichment Surge
Dec 12, 2024, 12:59 PM
Iran has agreed to stricter monitoring by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) at its Fordow nuclear facility, following a significant increase in uranium enrichment activities. The IAEA, in a report seen by Reuters, discussed from December 9 to 11 the need to enhance the frequency and intensity of safeguards measures at Fordow and a nuclear material storage facility in Esfahan. Iran has consented to the agency's request to increase the frequency and intensity of safeguards implementation at Fordow, facilitating the execution of a strengthened safeguards approach. This development comes after Iran greatly accelerated uranium enrichment to near weapons-grade levels at Fordow, which is located deep within a mountain.
View original story
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Snapback sanctions reimposed • 25%
New diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
Iran complies with nuclear deal terms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention occurs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Talks continue without agreement • 25%
Nuclear program dismantled • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant advancements • 25%
Reduced nuclear activities • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Talks initiated • 25%
Talks rejected • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Below 5% • 25%
Weapons-grade • 25%
Above 20% but below weapons-grade • 25%
5% to 20% • 25%