Market
Cuba's international strategy focus post-US designation by December 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthening ties with Russia and China • 25%
Improving relations with the EU • 25%
Focusing on Latin American alliances • 25%
Pursuing broader international recognition • 25%
Official Cuban government statements or diplomatic actions
Story
On First Day, Trump Reinstates Cuba as Terrorism Sponsor, Revokes Biden's Decision
Jan 21, 2025, 12:55 AM
On Monday, United States President Donald Trump revoked former President Joe Biden's January 14 decision to remove Cuba from the list of state sponsors of terrorism. In one of his first executive actions since taking office, Trump reinstated Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism, reversing Biden's last-minute move before leaving office. The White House announced that Trump rescinded 78 decisions made by Biden, including the Cuba delisting. The inclusion on the list imposes measures such as economic sanctions and restrictions on foreign aid. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel condemned the move as an act of arrogance and an attempt to strengthen the economic blockade against Cuba.
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Similar markets
Recall of Cuban ambassador to the U.S. • 25%
Increased economic cooperation with Russia/China • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Formal complaint to the United Nations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Human rights issues • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Further easing of sanctions • 25%
Restoration of full diplomatic relations • 25%
Reimposition of sanctions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other diplomatic gestures • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Release of political prisoners • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with US adversaries • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Vatican • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%