Market
What will be Cuba's response to Biden's policy changes by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Release of political prisoners • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic gestures • 25%
Official statements from the Cuban government or credible news sources reporting on Cuba's response
Story
Biden to Lift Cuba's Terrorism Designation, Rescind Trump Restrictions Before Leaving Office
Jan 14, 2025, 07:34 PM
The Biden administration is expected to lift the United States' designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism in the final days of President Joe Biden's term, according to U.S. officials cited by the Associated Press. In addition to removing Cuba from the terrorism list, the administration plans to rescind Trump-era restrictions and suspend expropriation claims against Cuba. The move is anticipated to lead to improved diplomatic relations and the potential release of political prisoners in response to U.S. actions. Republican lawmakers, including President-elect Donald Trump and incoming Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have expressed outrage at the decision, vowing to reverse it when they take office on January 20.
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Other • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Restoration of full diplomatic relations • 25%
Reimposition of sanctions • 25%
Further easing of sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with US adversaries • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Formal complaint to the United Nations • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Increased economic cooperation with Russia/China • 25%
Recall of Cuban ambassador to the U.S. • 25%
Improving relations with the EU • 25%
Strengthening ties with Russia and China • 25%
Pursuing broader international recognition • 25%
Focusing on Latin American alliances • 25%
Increase in trade • 25%
Decrease in trade • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Currency reform • 25%
Expansion of private sector • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Increased foreign investment • 25%
Deal reversed by Trump administration • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal modified by Trump administration • 25%
Deal remains intact • 25%