Market
What will be the international response to the U.S. removing Cuba from the Terrorism List by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Statements from international organizations or foreign governments reported by major news outlets
Story
U.S. to Remove Cuba from Terrorism List, Reversing Trump's 2021 Designation
Jan 14, 2025, 07:31 PM
U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to the Associated Press, have indicated that the Biden administration is expected to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of State Sponsors of Terrorism. The decision would reverse former President Donald Trump's 2021 designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Officials reportedly concluded that there is no information supporting Cuba's inclusion on the list. The administration also plans to rescind Trump-era restrictions and eliminate the restricted list that limits transactions with certain Cuban entities. The move is expected to prompt the release of political prisoners in response to U.S. actions. An official announcement is anticipated soon.
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Positive reception • 25%
Neutral reception • 25%
Other • 25%
Negative reception • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Support for US decision • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
Condemnation of US decision • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with US adversaries • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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Mostly positive • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
