Market
What will Cuba's response be to its reinstatement on the US terrorism list by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic engagement with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with US adversaries • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Cuban government or news reports
Story
Trump Reinstates Cuba as State Sponsor of Terrorism, Reversing Biden's Decision
Jan 21, 2025, 02:06 AM
On his first day in office, President Donald Trump reinstated Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism, reversing former President Joe Biden's executive order from January 14 that had removed the country from the list just six days earlier. The White House announced the decision, which places Cuba back on the list of countries supporting terrorism and reimposes sanctions such as restrictions on foreign aid and economic penalties. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel condemned the move, calling it an act of arrogance and disregard for the truth. U.S. politicians such as Senator Rick Scott and Representative Mario Díaz-Balart praised the decision, stating it protects national security interests and promotes freedom in the Western Hemisphere.
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Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military posturing • 25%
Increased economic partnerships with other countries • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Negative reception • 25%
Positive reception • 25%
Neutral reception • 25%
Other • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Deal reversed by Trump administration • 25%
Deal remains intact • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal modified by Trump administration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Other outcome • 25%