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Impact of deportation policy on Trump's 2024 presidential election outcome
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negatively influenced Trump's re-election • 33%
Positively influenced Trump's re-election • 33%
Had no significant influence on the election • 34%
Election outcome analysis and exit polls
Story
Trump Pledges to Crush Pro-Palestinian Protests on College Campuses, Deport Students
May 27, 2024, 04:00 PM
Former president Donald Trump has pledged to crush pro-Palestinian protests on college campuses and deport demonstrators, including American students, if he is re-elected. Speaking at a roundtable event with donors in New York, Trump stated his intention to expel foreign students who participate in anti-Israel protests. He emphasized that any student involved in such demonstrations would be thrown out of the country. This declaration has sparked significant controversy and debate regarding free speech and the rights of students on college campuses.
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Significantly affects election outcomes • 33%
Moderately affects election outcomes • 33%
Little to no effect on election outcomes • 34%
No significant impact • 33%
Moderate impact • 33%
Decisive impact • 33%
Significantly affects • 33%
Moderately affects • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Positive for Democrats • 33%
Negative for Democrats • 33%
No Significant Impact • 34%
Increases Democratic votes • 33%
Benefits Republican opposition • 33%
No significant impact on election • 34%
Negatively impacts Democrat candidate • 33%
No significant impact on election • 33%
Boosts Republican candidate • 34%
Significantly positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Negligible impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significantly harmed • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosted his public support • 33%
Significant negative impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%