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Impact of the border crisis on midterm elections by November 2024
5
House•Secure the Border Act•Republicans•Biden•Senate•Chuck Schumer•Republican•Nicole Malliotakis•Eric Burlison•Democrats
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly affects election outcomes • 33%
Moderately affects election outcomes • 33%
Little to no effect on election outcomes • 34%
Election results and political analysis
Story
GOP's Secure the Border Act Stalls in Senate One Year After House Approval
May 11, 2024, 08:35 PM
On May 11, 2023, the House GOP passed HR 2, known as the Secure the Border Act, aimed at addressing what some Republicans describe as a border crisis caused by President Biden's policies. Despite bipartisan support in the House, the bill has been stalled in the Senate for a year, with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer not allowing a vote on it. This inaction has drawn criticism from several Republican representatives, including Nicole Malliotakis and Eric Burlison, who argue that Democrats are deliberately avoiding addressing the border issues.
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Boosts Democratic incumbents • 33%
Hurts Democratic incumbents • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Negatively impacts Democrat candidate • 33%
No significant impact on election • 33%
Boosts Republican candidate • 34%
Increase in nationalist sentiment • 25%
Push for stricter immigration laws • 25%
Significant political debate • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Negatively influenced Trump's re-election • 33%
Positively influenced Trump's re-election • 33%
Had no significant influence on the election • 34%
Boosts Incumbent Party • 25%
Damages Incumbent Party • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Polarizes Voters • 25%
Increases Democratic votes • 33%
Benefits Republican opposition • 33%
No significant impact on election • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Unexpected positive impact • 34%
Significantly affects • 33%
Moderately affects • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Positive Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 33%
No Significant Impact • 34%
Positive for Democrats • 33%
Negative for Democrats • 33%
No Significant Impact • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
Minor negative impact • 33%
No impact • 34%
Significantly influences campaigns • 25%
Moderately influences campaigns • 25%
Minimally influences campaigns • 25%
Does not influence campaigns • 25%