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Impact of Mar-a-Lago raid on 2024 presidential election
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negatively impacts Democrat candidate • 33%
No significant impact on election • 33%
Boosts Republican candidate • 34%
Election results and major polling analysis
Story
Biden Administration Authorized Deadly Force in Mar-a-Lago Raid, Trump Reacts
May 21, 2024, 09:14 PM
Newly unsealed court documents reveal that the Biden administration authorized the FBI to use deadly force during the raid on former President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence. The authorization was part of an operations plan that included guidelines for potential engagement with Trump's Secret Service team. The raid, which took place in August 2022, led to the seizure of hundreds of classified documents and was personally approved by Attorney General Merrick Garland. The documents also indicate that local trauma centers were notified to be ready for possible casualties. Trump has reacted strongly to these revelations, calling for President Joe Biden to be removed from office under the 25th Amendment, citing mental unfitness and a serious threat to democracy.
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Significantly harmed • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosted his public support • 33%
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
Significant negative impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
Increase in influence • 33%
Decrease in influence • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Gain seats • 33%
Lose seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%
Significantly affects • 33%
Moderately affects • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significantly negative impact • 25%
Slightly negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Boosts campaign • 25%
Negatively impacted • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Positively impacted • 34%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%