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What impact will Trump-endorsed candidates have on the Republican performance in 2024?
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Jim Banks•Trump•Republican•Indiana•Banks•Afghanistan•Congress•Senate•Mike Pompeo•Tom Cotton•Republican Party•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Negligible impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Analysis of election results and endorsements
Story
Trump-Endorsed Jim Banks Wins Indiana GOP Senate Nomination, Expected to Easily Win in November
May 9, 2024, 09:18 PM
Jim Banks, endorsed by former President Trump, has secured the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate seat in Indiana, following his primary win. Banks, celebrated for his service in Afghanistan and his tenure in Congress, is anticipated to easily win the Senate seat in the upcoming November elections. His victory, which has drawn congratulations from figures like Mike Pompeo and Tom Cotton, is seen as a continuation of the Republican Party's appeal to working-class voters, a shift attributed to the influence of Trump's era. Banks' background, from growing up in a trailer park to potentially becoming a senator, embodies the American dream.
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Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Positive Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 33%
No Impact • 34%
Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Significant impact • 33%
Moderate impact • 34%
No impact • 33%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Significant drop in poll numbers • 25%
No significant change in poll numbers • 25%
Increase in campaign donations • 25%
Decrease in campaign donations • 25%
No impact • 33%
Minor impact • 33%
Major impact • 34%
Positive Impact • 33%
No Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 34%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Wins GOP nomination • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Loses GOP nomination • 34%