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Impact of Hunter Biden's conviction on President Biden's 2024 election prospects
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Media reports, polling data, and election results
Story
President Biden Will Not Commute Hunter Biden's Sentence After Federal Gun Conviction
Jun 13, 2024, 08:13 PM
President Joe Biden announced on Thursday that he will not use his presidential powers to commute the sentence of his son, Hunter Biden, following his federal felony conviction on gun crimes. Biden emphasized that he will abide by the jury's verdict and will not offer a pardon or commutation for Hunter's upcoming federal gun conviction sentence.
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Significant negative impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
Major negative impact • 33%
Minor impact • 33%
No impact • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Negatively impacted • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Positively impacted • 34%
Significant Increase • 25%
Significant Decrease • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Fluctuating • 25%
Significant drop in approval • 25%
Slight drop in approval • 25%
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Increase in approval • 25%
Support for Biden increases • 33%
Support for Biden decreases • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Significant decrease • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Increase due to sympathy • 34%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%