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What will be the impact of Trump's conviction on his 2024 Presidential Campaign?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Official election results and polling data
Story
Trump Media Shares Plunge 8% After Trump's Conviction on 34 Counts
May 31, 2024, 12:46 PM
Shares of Trump Media and Technology Group fell sharply after former President Donald Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts in the hush-money case. The stock dropped 8% in premarket trading on Friday, following a 9% decline in after-hours trading. Trump was convicted of falsifying documents to cover up a payment to silence a porn star ahead of the 2016 election. As the company's largest investor and primary user of its Truth Social platform, Trump's conviction has had a significant impact on the company's stock performance. The stock was down -0.3% premarket, according to CNBC.
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Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Positive Impact • 33%
No Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
No impact • 33%
Minor impact • 33%
Major impact • 34%
Significant negative impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact on Biden's campaign • 33%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%