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How will US national security concerns about TikTok be resolved by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Concerns resolved with new policy • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
US government statements and policy changes
Story
Trump Proposes 50% US Ownership in TikTok Joint Venture, Plans Executive Order for National Security
Jan 19, 2025, 09:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has proposed that the United States should have a 50% ownership stake in a joint venture with TikTok. This proposal comes as a response to a law that led to a brief shutdown of the app in the U.S. over national security concerns. Trump stated that this move would save TikTok, keep it in good hands, and allow it to continue operating. He plans to issue an executive order on Monday to extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, aiming to protect national security while keeping TikTok accessible to its 170 million American users.
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Similar markets
No resolution • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Security Measures Implemented • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
No changes • 25%
Sale • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Further actions required • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No security concerns found • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Court decision • 25%