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How will TikTok's national security concerns be resolved by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Signals He Will Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Announcement Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News's Kristen Welker that he will 'most likely' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump added, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday," indicating that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to address national security concerns or negotiate a sale to a U.S. entity.
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Ongoing litigation • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Security Measures Implemented • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No changes • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Sale • 25%
Ban • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%