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What will be the final decision on TikTok's operation in the U.S. by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Allowed to Operate • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Signals He Will Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Announcement Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News's Kristen Welker that he will 'most likely' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump added, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday," indicating that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to address national security concerns or negotiate a sale to a U.S. entity.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban Implemented • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No changes • 25%
TikTok remains with conditions • 25%
TikTok divested • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Banned • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Action • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other status • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Allow without restrictions • 25%
Impose new regulations • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%