Loading...
Market
How will social media platforms respond to TikTok's U.S. shutdown by mid-2025?
2
Mike Johnson•United States•TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•Johnson•Chinese Communist Party•Donald Trump•Congress•Supreme Court•First Amendment•Trump•Save TikTok
Resolution / Starting Odds
Launch of new competing platform • 25%
Increased investment in short-form video features • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official announcements from social media companies or news reports
Story
Mike Johnson: U.S. to Enforce TikTok Ban Law After Supreme Court Ruling, TikTok Shuts Down in U.S.
Jan 19, 2025, 06:49 PM
House Speaker Mike Johnson has announced that the United States will enforce the law requiring TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to either fully divest from its U.S. operations or face a ban. Johnson emphasized that the law mandates a complete divestiture from the Chinese Communist Party, rejecting proposals for partial sales, such as the 50% divestiture suggested by President Donald Trump. The TikTok ban law, passed by Congress last year, was upheld by the Supreme Court earlier this month, which had set a 270-day timeline for compliance. ByteDance had challenged the law, arguing it violated the First Amendment, but the court ruled unanimously in favor of the ban, citing national security concerns. TikTok voluntarily shut down its platform in the U.S. on January 19, just before the law took effect. Johnson also addressed Trump's recent 'Save TikTok' post and plans for an executive order to extend the compliance timeline, stating that the enforcement of this law is critical to addressing data privacy and security risks posed by the Chinese Communist Party.
View original story
Similar markets
Snapchat increases user engagement • 25%
Instagram releases new features • 25%
Other responses • 25%
YouTube launches short video incentives • 25%
Increase in YouTube Shorts Users • 25%
No Significant Shift • 25%
Increase in Snapchat Users • 25%
Increase in Instagram Users • 25%
Move to other platforms • 25%
Create own independent content • 25%
Leave social media • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
Launch similar features • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Other platform • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
Neutral or indifferent • 25%
Supportive of the ban • 25%
Major backlash • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Rise of a new social media platform • 25%
Increase in Facebook/Instagram usage • 25%
Shift to Twitter/X • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
All withdraw support • 25%
Some withdraw support • 25%
No statement • 25%
All continue support • 25%
General indifference • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
Support for the ban • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%