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How will Lebanon's relations with Israel and Syria change by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Improved relations with both • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official government announcements or reports from major international news outlets
Story
Israeli Foreign Minister Congratulates Joseph Aoun on Election as Lebanon's President After Over Two Years of Crisis
Jan 9, 2025, 01:32 PM
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar has congratulated Joseph Aoun on his election as Lebanon's president following a prolonged political crisis that lasted over two years. In his statement, Sa'ar expressed hope that Aoun's presidency would contribute to stability, a better future for Lebanon and its residents, and foster good neighborly relations between Israel and Lebanon, which are currently in an official state of war. Sa'ar emphasized that the stability of Lebanon is a priority for the entire region, and he hopes the recent ceasefire agreement could evolve into a formal peace treaty between the two nations.
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Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Tense but stable relations • 25%
Escalating tensions • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Normal relations • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Escalation into further conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolution and return to normalcy • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%