Loading...
Market
Diplomatic status between Syria and Lebanon by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Normal relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Official diplomatic statements or international news agencies
Story
Syria’s Embassy in Lebanon Suspends Services After 70 Officers Handed Over, Following December 28 Passport Forgery Allegations
Dec 29, 2024, 07:18 AM
Syria’s embassy in Lebanon has suspended consular services following the arrest of two relatives of deposed President Bashar Assad at Beirut airport for allegedly attempting to use forged passports. The suspension occurred on Saturday, December 28, 2024, a day after the arrests, and coincides with a broader investigation by Lebanese authorities into the embassy's activities. Reports indicate that the Lebanese military has handed over 70 officers from the regime of the ousted Assad to Syrian authorities, further complicating the diplomatic situation. The embassy's decision to halt services is a direct response to the allegations surrounding the issuance of fake passports to members of Assad's family.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Military rule • 25%
Civil war continues • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic government • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Further isolated • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Improved • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Initiate Peace Talks • 25%
Resume Embassy Operations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
