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Will Lebanon see significant political stability improvements by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international organizations such as the United Nations or major news outlets
Story
Israeli Foreign Minister Congratulates Joseph Aoun on Election as Lebanon's President After Over Two Years of Crisis
Jan 9, 2025, 01:32 PM
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar has congratulated Joseph Aoun on his election as Lebanon's president following a prolonged political crisis that lasted over two years. In his statement, Sa'ar expressed hope that Aoun's presidency would contribute to stability, a better future for Lebanon and its residents, and foster good neighborly relations between Israel and Lebanon, which are currently in an official state of war. Sa'ar emphasized that the stability of Lebanon is a priority for the entire region, and he hopes the recent ceasefire agreement could evolve into a formal peace treaty between the two nations.
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Unstable • 25%
Deteriorating • 25%
Improving • 25%
Stable • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
No Election Held • 25%
Joseph Aoun • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
Election Postponed • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolution and return to normalcy • 25%
Escalation into further conflict • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No Plan Announced • 25%
Plan Announced and Endorsed • 25%
Plan Rejected • 25%
Plan Announced, Not Endorsed • 25%