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How will Syria-Israel diplomatic relations change by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Official diplomatic announcements or changes in embassy status
Story
Damascus Governor Maher Marwan Calls for Peace with Israel, Seeks U.S. Mediation
Dec 27, 2024, 11:31 AM
The new governor of Damascus, Maher Marwan, has stated that Syria's new government seeks peaceful relations with Israel and called on the United States to help facilitate peace between the two countries. Speaking to NPR on December 27, 2024, on behalf of Syria’s de facto leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, formerly known as Abu Mohammad al-Julani, Marwan said, "We have no fear towards Israel, and our problem is not with Israel. We want peace, and we cannot be an opponent to Israel or an opponent to anyone." He emphasized that Syria does not want to interfere with Israel's security or that of any other nation. Marwan acknowledged that Israel's initial fears were natural and noted that Israel had "advanced a little, bombed a little" in response to the changes in Syria. His remarks represent an unprecedented position from Syrian leadership towards Israel, including referring to Israel as a "country."
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Other changes • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Border dispute resolution • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%