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Will Lebanon and Israel reach a major economic agreement by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Lebanese government or major international news outlets
Story
Israeli Foreign Minister Congratulates Joseph Aoun on Election as Lebanon's President After Over Two Years of Crisis
Jan 9, 2025, 01:32 PM
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar has congratulated Joseph Aoun on his election as Lebanon's president following a prolonged political crisis that lasted over two years. In his statement, Sa'ar expressed hope that Aoun's presidency would contribute to stability, a better future for Lebanon and its residents, and foster good neighborly relations between Israel and Lebanon, which are currently in an official state of war. Sa'ar emphasized that the stability of Lebanon is a priority for the entire region, and he hopes the recent ceasefire agreement could evolve into a formal peace treaty between the two nations.
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Tense but stable relations • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Escalating tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Joint humanitarian initiative • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ceasefire Implemented • 25%
Ceasefire Extended • 25%
Ceasefire Collapsed • 25%
Ceasefire Renegotiated • 25%
Plan Announced and Endorsed • 25%
Plan Announced, Not Endorsed • 25%
No Plan Announced • 25%
Plan Rejected • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial implementation with ongoing negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire successfully implemented • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%