Loading...
Market
Will there be a change in leadership within Hezbollah following Israeli military actions by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No change • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
Disbandment • 25%
Announcements from Hezbollah or reports from credible news sources
Story
Israel Plans Large-Scale Response to Hezbollah After Drone Attack Kills Four Soldiers at Golani Base
Oct 14, 2024, 04:48 PM
Israel has informed the United States of its plans to deliver a forceful response to Hezbollah following Sunday's deadly drone attack on the Golani Brigade's training base near Binyamina, which resulted in the deaths of four Israeli soldiers. The Israeli Defense Minister has vowed a strong response, and Israeli media reports indicate that the military is preparing a large-scale operation against Hezbollah, possibly including targets in Beirut and potentially broader military action in Lebanon and Iran. The planned response signifies a significant escalation as tensions rise between Israel and Hezbollah.
View original story
Similar markets
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership dispute • 25%
No clear outcome • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership change due to internal decision • 25%
Leadership change due to Israeli action • 25%
No clear information on leadership change • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah steps down • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is replaced by internal coup • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is killed or incapacitated • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Leadership change within Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Same Leader • 25%
New Leader • 25%
Interim Leadership • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership remains unclear • 25%
Hezbollah leadership disbanded • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Internal power struggle • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
Leadership structure changes • 25%
No change reported • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains in power • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is replaced • 25%
New leadership structure emerges • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership dispute • 25%
No clear information • 25%
Yes, internal restructuring • 33%
Yes, new leader appointed • 33%
No significant changes • 33%
Naim Qassem replaced • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Unknown/Unconfirmed • 25%