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What will be Ukraine's status in the international community by end of 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Russia•United States•Western•London•Brussels•Moscow•Ukrainian•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognized as sovereign • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Divided into multiple states • 25%
Other • 25%
Decisions by the United Nations or major international bodies
Story
Putin's Aide Predicts Ukraine's Demise by 2025, Advocates Bilateral Talks with US, Excludes London and Brussels
Jan 14, 2025, 01:29 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a close aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has predicted that Ukraine may cease to exist as a sovereign state by 2025. In an interview with the Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev stated that it is possible Ukraine will 'cease to exist altogether' in the coming year. He also emphasized that negotiations regarding Ukraine's future should be conducted exclusively between Russia and the United States, without the involvement of other Western countries. Patrushev dismissed the need for discussions with London or Brussels, asserting that Moscow has nothing to discuss with them. He further claimed that the Ukrainian people are closely tied to Russia by centuries-old bonds, despite efforts by Kyiv to promote anti-Russian propaganda.
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Similar markets
Independent sovereign state • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
Other status • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
No application • 25%