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What will be the outcome of Ukraine-related negotiations by end of 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Russia•United States•Western•London•Brussels•Moscow•Ukrainian•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from involved parties or international bodies
Story
Putin's Aide Predicts Ukraine's Demise by 2025, Advocates Bilateral Talks with US, Excludes London and Brussels
Jan 14, 2025, 01:29 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a close aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has predicted that Ukraine may cease to exist as a sovereign state by 2025. In an interview with the Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev stated that it is possible Ukraine will 'cease to exist altogether' in the coming year. He also emphasized that negotiations regarding Ukraine's future should be conducted exclusively between Russia and the United States, without the involvement of other Western countries. Patrushev dismissed the need for discussions with London or Brussels, asserting that Moscow has nothing to discuss with them. He further claimed that the Ukrainian people are closely tied to Russia by centuries-old bonds, despite efforts by Kyiv to promote anti-Russian propaganda.
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Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%