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What will be Ukraine's NATO membership status by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other status • 25%
Official NATO or Ukrainian government announcements
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's 20-Year Delay Proposal for Ukraine's NATO Membership and Peacekeepers, Says Lavrov in TASS Interview
Dec 29, 2024, 12:49 PM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has rejected former President Donald Trump's proposal to delay Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years. In an interview with TASS, Lavrov stated that Russia finds the proposal unacceptable, echoing President Vladimir Putin's earlier declarations that Ukraine's accession to NATO is not negotiable, regardless of the timeframe. Lavrov also dismissed the suggestion of deploying European and British peacekeepers in Ukraine, emphasizing that any agreements regarding Ukraine must be unbreakable. While Russia remains open to negotiations, it firmly opposes any conditions that would allow for Ukraine's NATO membership.
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Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
No resolution • 25%