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What will be the status of Ukraine-Russia negotiations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments or credible news sources
Story
Putin Ready to Meet Trump After Four Years, Open to Talks with Re-elected Zelensky
Dec 19, 2024, 11:06 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced during his annual press conference that he is ready to meet with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at any time. Putin noted that he has not spoken with Trump in over four years but expressed openness to future discussions. He emphasized that "politics is the art of compromise" and stated that Russia is always prepared for negotiations and compromises. Putin also indicated his willingness to engage in talks with Ukraine, saying he is ready to negotiate with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky if he is re-elected, and that any discussions must be based on the previous Istanbul agreements and the current facts on the ground. Putin's remarks come as Trump has recently called for a ceasefire and negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.
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Peace Agreement • 33%
Ceasefire • 33%
No Agreement • 33%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Russian withdrawal to February 2022 positions • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Conflict freeze without withdrawal • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No peace talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%