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What will be the status of Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•United States•Western•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Moscow•London•Brussels•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Independent sovereign state • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
Other status • 25%
Official recognition by international bodies or governmental announcements
Story
Putin's Advisor Patrushev Insists on Exclusive US-Russia Talks on Ukraine, Predicts Demise by 2025
Jan 14, 2025, 12:14 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a prominent advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has stated that negotiations regarding Ukraine should exclusively involve Russia and the United States, excluding other Western countries. In an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev emphasized that Moscow has no interest in discussing Ukraine with London or Brussels, indicating a preference for direct talks between Moscow and Washington. Additionally, Patrushev predicted that Ukraine might cease to exist by the end of 2025, adding a provocative forecast to the ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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Similar markets
Divided into multiple states • 25%
Other • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Recognized as sovereign • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%