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What will be the status of Ukraine's NATO membership process by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Membership granted • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Official NATO announcements or major news outlets reporting on Ukraine's NATO membership status
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's Proposals to Delay Ukraine's NATO Membership and Deploy Peacekeepers
Dec 30, 2024, 10:26 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has expressed dissatisfaction with proposals reportedly discussed by President-elect Donald Trump and his team to end the war in Ukraine. These proposals include postponing Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and deploying European and British peacekeeping forces in Ukraine. Lavrov stated that Moscow is not satisfied with these suggestions, which were attributed to representatives of Trump's team. The comments come as speculation about potential future peace negotiations continues, following nearly three years of conflict that has resulted in hundreds of thousands of casualties.
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Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
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Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%