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What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
TikTok's operational status in the U.S. as reported by major news outlets
Story
TikTok Restores U.S. Service After Trump Pledges to Pause Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 05:43 PM
TikTok announced it is restoring service in the United States after being blocked the previous evening. The company thanked President-elect Donald Trump for providing the necessary clarity and assurance to its service providers that they will not face penalties for supporting TikTok. TikTok stated that Trump plans to issue an Executive Order pausing the ban upon taking office, and it will work with him on a long-term solution that keeps the app operational in the U.S., where it serves over 170 million users and supports over 7 million small businesses. The platform had gone offline Saturday night but is now coming back online for users.
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Resumes Operations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Continues operations • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
