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What will be the status of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Official announcements from both parties or reputable international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu: Israel Won’t Proceed with Gaza Ceasefire Until Hamas Provides List of 33 Hostages
Jan 18, 2025, 05:06 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israel will not proceed with the Gaza ceasefire agreement scheduled to begin tomorrow until Hamas provides the list of 33 hostages to be released in the first phase of the deal, as previously agreed upon. Netanyahu emphasized that Israel will not tolerate any violations of the agreement and held Hamas solely responsible for any delays, stating, "The sole responsibility lies with Hamas." Hamas has not yet provided the list of hostages, causing a potential delay in the ceasefire implementation.
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Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
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Ceasefire holds • 25%
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Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
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Other • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
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Ceasefire violated by Hamas • 25%
Ceasefire holds without violation • 25%
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Ceasefire holds with full compliance • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire fully implemented • 25%
Ceasefire collapses entirely • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major violations • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Fully successful • 25%
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Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Permanent ceasefire • 25%
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Resumption of conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%