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What will be the status of the Gaza ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israel's Security Cabinet Approves Gaza Ceasefire; Hostage Release to Begin Jan 19
Jan 17, 2025, 02:02 PM
On Friday, Israel's security cabinet recommended approval of a ceasefire deal with Hamas in Gaza, which was signed in Doha and includes the release of hostages held by the militant group. The agreement aims to pause the 15-month war with Hamas in Gaza. The ceasefire is expected to take effect on Sunday, and the release of dozens of hostages is expected to begin on January 19. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office announced that the deal now goes to the full cabinet for final approval.
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Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire with hostage release • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement not approved • 25%
Negotiations continue beyond deadline • 25%
Agreement approved but not implemented • 25%
Agreement approved and implemented • 25%
1 to 2 years • 25%
Less than 6 months • 25%
6 months to 1 year • 25%
More than 2 years • 25%