Loading...
Market
What will be the status of the Gaza conflict by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Reports from international organizations and credible news outlets
Story
Israel Defense Minister Orders IDF to Prepare Plan for Complete Defeat of Hamas by January 20, 2025
Jan 10, 2025, 09:02 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to prepare a plan for the complete defeat of Hamas in Gaza. This directive comes with a deadline tied to the potential realization of a hostage deal. Katz stated that if a deal is not reached before President-elect Donald Trump takes office on January 20, 2025, Hamas must face total defeat. He emphasized the need to avoid a prolonged and costly war of attrition, highlighting the urgency of the situation.
View original story
Similar markets
Renewed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire in effect • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostage situation unresolved • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Partial ceasefire with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
No ceasefire, continued conflict • 25%
Increased international military intervention • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostages remain but negotiations continue • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%