Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Gaza conflict following the UNGA resolution by the end of 2025?
2
United Nations General Assembly•Gaza•Israeli•Palestinian•Gaza Strip•UN•Palestinian refugees•UNRWA•Israel•General Assembly
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Partial ceasefire with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
No ceasefire, continued conflict • 25%
Increased international military intervention • 25%
Reports from international news agencies, UN statements, and official government releases
Story
UNGA Calls for Ceasefire in Gaza with 158-9 Vote, Urges Hostage Release
Dec 12, 2024, 03:10 PM
The United Nations General Assembly has overwhelmingly approved a resolution demanding an immediate, unconditional, and permanent ceasefire in Gaza, with a vote of 158-9, and 13 abstentions. This resolution also calls for the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages. The vote comes amidst ongoing Israeli military operations in Gaza, which have resulted in the deaths of at least 40 Palestinians in recent airstrikes, including 15 people killed while guarding aid convoys in the southern Gaza Strip. These attacks have targeted civilians, aid workers, and homes, intensifying the global outcry over potential war crimes and genocide. The resolution also supports the UN agency for Palestinian refugees (UNRWA), which Israel has moved to ban. Despite the non-binding nature of General Assembly resolutions, they reflect a significant portion of world opinion calling for an end to the conflict that has claimed over 44,800 Palestinian lives since October 2023, with more than half being women and children, and 106,257 wounded.
View original story
Similar markets
Military victory for Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Hamas victory • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
IDF victory • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Resolution passed • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
Resolution withdrawn • 25%
No resolution proposed • 25%
Resolution passed • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
No resolution proposed • 25%
Resolution failed to pass • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Complete resolution • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
Resolution passed • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
No resolution proposed • 25%
Resolution withdrawn • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsening conditions • 25%