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What will be the status of Iran's nuclear program by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Program significantly damaged or destroyed • 25%
Program remains operational but limited • 25%
Program remains fully operational • 25%
Program expanded • 25%
Operational • 25%
Dismantled • 25%
Under negotiation • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or major international news outlets
Story
Kamala Harris Identifies Iran as Greatest Adversary, Cites 200 Ballistic Missiles in CBS Interview
Oct 8, 2024, 11:36 AM
In a recent 60 Minutes interview, Vice President and presidential candidate Kamala Harris identified Iran as the United States' greatest adversary. She emphasized that Iran has American blood on its hands and highlighted the importance of ensuring Iran never becomes a nuclear power. Harris mentioned Iran's attack on Israel and the launch of 200 ballistic missiles. Her comments, sourced from CBS, have sparked debate, with some critics arguing that China should be considered the greatest adversary. Harris did not specify whether the U.S. would take military action against Iran's nuclear weapons program.
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Advanced • 25%
Stalled • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increased capabilities • 25%
Decreased capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Nuclear disarmament • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy explicitly altered • 25%
Increased nuclear enrichment • 25%
Nuclear weapon development initiated • 25%
Iran completes enrichment plans • 25%
Iran halts enrichment • 25%
Iran scales back enrichment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Progress towards nuclear capability • 25%
Stalled or no progress • 25%
Reduction in nuclear activities • 25%
Complete cessation of nuclear activities • 25%
Iran complies with JCPOA limits • 25%
Iran expands nuclear program • 25%
New international agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Program halted as per agreement • 25%
Minor breaches reported • 25%
Major breaches reported • 25%
Program resumed to previous levels • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Decrease in nuclear activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Nuclear disarmament • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Policy Hardening • 25%
Policy Softening • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%