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What will be the status of Iran's nuclear capability by the end of 2024?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Iran•Netanyahu•Islamic Republic•United States•Iranian nuclear program
Resolution / Starting Odds
Advanced • 25%
Stalled • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu on Thursday: Israel Has Unprecedented Freedom to Act in Iran, Preventing Nuclear Weapons
Oct 31, 2024, 03:50 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared that Israel now has unprecedented freedom to act within Iran and can reach any location in the country if necessary. Netanyahu emphasized that preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons remains Israel's top priority. He stated on Thursday that Israel's ability to operate in Iran has significantly increased, highlighting recent airstrikes against the Islamic Republic as evidence of this enhanced capability. Netanyahu reiterated that halting Iran's nuclear program is at the forefront of Israel's security objectives, despite opposition from the United States. Halting the Iranian nuclear program has been and remains Israel's chief concern.
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Program significantly damaged or destroyed • 25%
Program remains operational but limited • 25%
Program remains fully operational • 25%
Program expanded • 25%
Operational • 25%
Dismantled • 25%
Under negotiation • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increased capabilities • 25%
Decreased capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Nuclear disarmament • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy explicitly altered • 25%
Increased nuclear enrichment • 25%
Nuclear weapon development initiated • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Decrease in nuclear activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Nuclear disarmament • 25%
Policy Hardening • 25%
Policy Softening • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significantly reduced • 25%
Somewhat reduced • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Increased • 25%
Iran completes enrichment plans • 25%
Iran halts enrichment • 25%
Iran scales back enrichment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Iran halts nuclear program • 25%
Iran accelerates nuclear program • 25%
Iran maintains current pace • 25%
Iran withdraws from NPT • 25%
Progress towards nuclear capability • 25%
Stalled or no progress • 25%
Reduction in nuclear activities • 25%
Complete cessation of nuclear activities • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%