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What will be the outcome of Trump's efforts to save TikTok by June 30, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government press releases.
Story
Trump Asks Supreme Court to Delay January 19 TikTok Ban to Save Platform
Dec 28, 2024, 03:20 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has asked the US Supreme Court to pause a law that would ban the social media platform TikTok on January 19, the day before his inauguration on January 20. In a legal brief filed on Friday, Trump's legal team requested the delay to allow his incoming administration to pursue a 'political resolution' to the issue. The ban requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the app or face a ban due to national security concerns over its connections to China. Trump's move marks a reversal from the current administration's position, as he seeks to negotiate a deal to save the platform once he takes office. His lawyers argued that he has the 'deal-making experience, electoral mandate, and political will' to address the issue after his inauguration.
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Promote TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Modifies conditions • 25%
Reverses ban • 25%
Maintains current policy • 25%
Other policy action • 25%
No resolution • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Resolution reached • 33%
Operational changes agreed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Supports divestment • 25%
No action taken • 25%
New policy announced • 25%
Reverses ban • 25%
