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What will be the outcome of TikTok's compliance with the divestment order by February 28, 2025?
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Rand Paul•Supreme Court•TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•United States•Paul•First Amendment•Americans•Oracle•American•Meta•Google
Resolution / Starting Odds
Divestment completed • 33%
Ban implemented • 33%
Deadline extended • 34%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or credible news sources
Story
Rand Paul Criticizes TikTok Ban, Cites First Amendment and January 19 Deadline
Jan 18, 2025, 02:17 PM
Senator Rand Paul has strongly criticized the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a federal law mandating TikTok's divestment from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the United States. The deadline for divestment is January 19. Paul described the decision as a violation of the First Amendment, asserting that the ruling was based on accusations rather than concrete evidence. He argued that banning TikTok, used by 170 million Americans and ranked as the fourth most-used social media app in the U.S., is an authoritarian action inconsistent with the principles of free speech. Paul also pointed out that TikTok has offered measures such as storing data on Oracle's cloud and establishing an American board to address national security concerns. He criticized fears over data usage as overstated, comparing them to concerns about American companies like Meta and Google. Despite the Supreme Court's ruling, Paul expressed disappointment and joined TikTok as an act of civil disobedience, encouraging users to resist the ban.
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Similar markets
Extension granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Nationwide ban enforced • 25%
Successful divestiture • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No divestment • 25%
Partial divestment • 25%
Complete divestment • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Supreme Court blocks order • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Supreme Court upholds order • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Divestiture announced but not completed • 25%
Legal challenge delaying divestiture • 25%
No divestiture • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Other • 25%
Spin-off • 25%
Complete Sale • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Sold to a non-US company • 25%
Not sold, banned • 25%
Not sold, not banned • 25%