Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of ByteDance's compliance with the U.S. divestment order by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete divestment • 25%
Partial divestment • 25%
No divestment • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or U.S. regulatory bodies
Story
U.S. Court Upholds TikTok Ban Unless ByteDance Divests by Jan. 19
Dec 6, 2024, 03:23 PM
A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld a law requiring ByteDance, the Chinese parent company of TikTok, to divest its ownership of the popular short-video app in the United States. The ruling means that TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. if ByteDance does not meet the January 19 deadline to sell the app. This decision could significantly impact the social media landscape, potentially benefiting competitors like Meta Platforms Inc. and Snap Inc. The court's decision comes amidst discussions of potential policy changes under a Trump administration, although Trump has indicated he would reverse the ban.
View original story
Similar markets
Divestiture completed • 25%
Divestiture announced but not completed • 25%
No divestiture • 25%
Legal challenge delaying divestiture • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
ByteDance sells to a US company • 25%
ByteDance sells to a non-US company • 25%
ByteDance does not sell • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment Completed • 25%
Divestment Announced • 25%
No Divestment • 25%
Extension Granted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Complete Sale • 25%
Spin-off • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
Other • 25%
Divests TikTok • 25%
Does Not Divest • 25%
Finds Alternative Solution • 25%
Awaiting Supreme Court Decision • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests TikTok's U.S. assets • 25%
ByteDance does not divest TikTok's U.S. assets • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok to a U.S. company • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok through legal means • 25%
