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What will be the outcome of the ten-day negotiation period following the proposed ceasefire?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
A lasting ceasefire agreement is reached • 25%
Negotiations extend beyond ten days without agreement • 25%
Negotiations break down without any agreement • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or credible news reports
Story
Egypt Proposes 48-Hour Gaza Ceasefire for Hostage-Prisoner Exchange and Aid Delivery
Oct 27, 2024, 05:09 PM
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has proposed a 48-hour ceasefire in Gaza, during which four Israeli hostages would be released in exchange for some Palestinian prisoners, and humanitarian aid would be allowed into Gaza. Following the ceasefire, a ten-day negotiation period would aim to establish a lasting ceasefire and address broader issues. Israel has expressed openness to discussing the proposal, while Hamas has reportedly rejected it.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostage negotiations fail • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Temporary extension of ceasefire • 25%
Long-term peace agreement • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
60-day ceasefire agreed • 25%
Partial agreement with modifications • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire partially implemented • 25%
No decision • 25%
Agreement signed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepted by both parties • 33%
Rejected by both parties • 33%
Accepted by one party • 33%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and Accepted • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Ceasefire and hostage release accepted by both sides • 25%
Ceasefire accepted but no hostage release • 25%
Hostage release but no ceasefire • 25%
Neither ceasefire nor hostage release • 25%
Accepted and implemented • 25%
Accepted but not implemented • 25%
Rejected by Israel • 25%
Rejected by Hezbollah • 25%