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Will a 10-day negotiation period for a lasting ceasefire begin by November 10, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements
Story
Egypt Proposes 48-Hour Ceasefire in Gaza for Hostage Exchange
Oct 27, 2024, 04:33 PM
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has proposed a 48-hour ceasefire in Gaza, which would involve the exchange of four Israeli hostages for some Palestinian prisoners. The proposal includes a subsequent 10-day negotiation period aimed at establishing a lasting ceasefire. While Israel has shown openness to discussing the proposal, Hamas has not acknowledged it.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
A lasting ceasefire agreement is reached • 25%
Negotiations extend beyond ten days without agreement • 25%
Negotiations break down without any agreement • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Immediate cease-fire • 25%
Conditional cease-fire • 25%
No cease-fire • 25%
Other terms • 25%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire partially implemented • 25%
No decision • 25%
Agreement signed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
