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Will humanitarian aid be delivered to Gaza during the proposed 48-hour ceasefire?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible humanitarian organizations or news agencies confirming aid delivery
Story
Egypt Proposes 48-Hour Gaza Ceasefire for Hostage-Prisoner Exchange and Aid Delivery
Oct 27, 2024, 05:09 PM
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has proposed a 48-hour ceasefire in Gaza, during which four Israeli hostages would be released in exchange for some Palestinian prisoners, and humanitarian aid would be allowed into Gaza. Following the ceasefire, a ten-day negotiation period would aim to establish a lasting ceasefire and address broader issues. Israel has expressed openness to discussing the proposal, while Hamas has reportedly rejected it.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. Military • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Israeli Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, fully allowed • 33%
Yes, partially allowed • 33%
No • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aid completely halted • 25%
Aid partially halted • 25%
Aid continues as usual • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No improvement • 25%
Worsening conditions • 25%