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What will be the outcome of the 21-day temporary ceasefire proposal between Israel and Hezbollah by October 16, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted and implemented • 25%
Accepted but not implemented • 25%
Rejected by Israel • 25%
Rejected by Hezbollah • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Israel and Hezbollah, verified by major news outlets such as BBC, CNN, and Reuters
Story
France and US Propose 21-Day Temporary Ceasefire Between Israel and Hezbollah, Says Jean-Noël Barrot
Sep 25, 2024, 10:49 PM
France and the United States have jointly proposed a 21-day temporary ceasefire in the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The proposal was announced by French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot at a United Nations Security Council meeting. The temporary truce aims to allow for diplomatic negotiations between the parties involved. The initiative is a collaborative effort led by the US, France, and Britain, and is intended to facilitate intensive talks to resolve the ongoing conflict.
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Accepted by both parties • 33%
Rejected by both parties • 33%
Accepted by one party • 33%
Ceasefire holds and leads to negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire holds but no significant progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down, hostilities resume • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Minor skirmishes occur • 25%
Major conflict resumes • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Ceasefire discussions ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed but not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire partially implemented • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ceasefire approved and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire approved but not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire not approved • 25%
Ceasefire delayed beyond 2024 • 25%
Agreement finalized and implemented • 25%
Agreement finalized but not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%