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What will be the outcome of the Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah's weapon transfer routes by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant disruption of weapon transfers • 25%
Temporary disruption with resumed transfers • 25%
No significant impact on weapon transfers • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Verified news reports and statements from involved parties
Story
IDF Strikes Eight Land Crossings on Syrian-Lebanese Border to Halt Hezbollah Weapon Transfers
Sep 26, 2024, 10:37 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted airstrikes on infrastructure used to transfer weapons from Syria to Hezbollah in Lebanon. The strikes targeted eight land crossings, including both formal and informal routes, around the Zabadani and Al-Qusayr axes. The IDF stated that the infrastructure was used by Hezbollah to smuggle weapons into Lebanon, which were then used against Israel. Israeli Air Force fighter jets were involved in the operation, aimed at disrupting the flow of weapons to the terrorist organization.
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Hezbollah's capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities moderately reduced • 25%
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Hezbollah leadership targeted • 25%
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Hezbollah retaliates effectively • 25%
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Hezbollah disarmament • 25%
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