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What will be the outcome of Israel's military operations against Hezbollah by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful ground invasion and significant degradation of Hezbollah • 25%
Limited ground invasion with minor impact on Hezbollah • 25%
No ground invasion but continued airstrikes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Official announcements from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera
Story
Israel Prepares for Possible Ground Invasion of Lebanon Amid Airstrikes on Hezbollah
Sep 25, 2024, 04:57 PM
The Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, has announced that the military is preparing for a possible ground invasion of Lebanon. This preparation comes amid ongoing airstrikes targeting Hezbollah's infrastructure. Halevi emphasized the goal of these operations is to degrade Hezbollah's capabilities, destroy the enemy, and decisively destroy Hezbollah's infrastructure. He mentioned that planes are attacking all day to prepare the ground for potential entry by Israeli forces. The IDF's Northern Command Chief, Maj. Gen. Ori Gordin, has also called for readiness for a ground offensive against Hezbollah. The military activities are focused on the northern border with Lebanon, and soldiers have been instructed to be ready for a possible ground maneuver.
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Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains largely intact • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
Inconclusive outcome • 25%
Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited military operations • 25%
Hezbollah disarmament • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Major military victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major military victory for Hezbollah • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Significant Hezbollah losses • 25%
Minor Hezbollah losses • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains territory • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant weakening of Hezbollah • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah retaliates with significant force • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel achieves significant military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Successful operation with minimal conflict • 25%
Prolonged conflict with significant casualties • 25%
Stalemate with no clear outcome • 25%